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Commentaries tagged with forecast

May 18, 2025	It’s TDS to Suppose These Tariffs Are WorkingTrump has pushed the U.S. into an economic downturn that will be especially hurtful to Hoosiers.
May 11, 2025	Trump’s Tariff Recession Is HereMy new forecast, completed in late April, predicts a national recession began as early as March in reaction to Trump’s tarriffs.
March 16, 2025	What to Expect in This RecessionThere is risk of a lot of pain.
January 19, 2025	My 2025 ForecastThe Hoosier economy is growing, but at the same time falling further behind the rest of the nation.
September 29, 2024	The Soft Landing MiracleThe hard part was ending inflation without also causing a recession.
March 31, 2024	The Political Economy of InflationThe public seems to prefer high unemployment to high inflation.
December 17, 2023	Great Economic Holiday GiftsThe end of year data is giving economy watchers plenty cause for holiday cheer.
August 6, 2023	Looking Back at Mistakes with a Critical EyeI was not alone in making these mistakes, but there’s no comfort in being wrong with a crowd.
June 25, 2023	Growing and Declining Places Have Different ChallengesThe Midwest came of age at a time when natural amenities and recreational opportunities played only a modest role in prosperity or migration.
January 29, 2023	The 2023 ForecastThe reason for worry about a recession is the Federal Reserve’s response to high inflation.
December 25, 2022	Storm Costs on ChristmasThis storm comes amidst some of the busiest travel days of the year.
December 4, 2022	Inflation Will Make the Legislature’s Job Difficult This YearThe budget challenges faced by state legislatures are twofold.
December 12, 2021	The 2022 ForecastFrom retail and restaurants to logistics and manufacturing firms, the U.S. economy has been astonishingly resilient.
December 5, 2021	Some More Talk About Inflation RisksA price increase does not equate inflation.
February 21, 2021	Questions from an Economic ForecastThe economic recovery is in the hands of vaccine distributors, not economic policymakers.
December 16, 2018	Slowing Growth and Greater Risk in 2019We look to data indicators to anticipate changes in the new year.
September 7, 2014	Forecasting in the Silly SeasonElection season is rife with misunderstood economic projections.
May 19, 2013	The Heritage Foundation, Immigration and Moral CourageGood research should illuminate, not merely support an opinion.
December 16, 2012	Forecasts of the EconomyA well thought out economic forecast offers a great deal of useful information.
January 3, 2011	Forecasting the YearAnyone who can build a model to predict the last recession, given what was known before it started, will become very rich.
December 31, 1969	Integrity and Accuracy in Economic ForecastsWe could do like weather forecasters and give probabilities, but that doesn’t make public budgeting any easier.

Center for Business and Economic Research - Ball State University

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Commentaries tagged with forecast