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Economic Freedom Is Essential, but It Isn’t Just TaxesBusinesses and households prioritize standard of living among other factors.

The Labor Demand Shocks of Artificial IntelligenceThe unseen part of technology is how humans adapt it to complement their innate skills.

Misdiagnosing Housing ProblemsThe housing market faces a mix of supply-side and demand-side issues.

Previewing the Long-Term Effects of TariffsThe dominant effect of the Trump tariffs will be to raise production costs on almost every American manufacturing firm.

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Commentaries tagged with forecast

May 18, 2025 It’s TDS to Suppose These Tariffs Are WorkingTrump has pushed the U.S. into an economic downturn that will be especially hurtful to Hoosiers.
May 11, 2025 Trump’s Tariff Recession Is HereMy new forecast, completed in late April, predicts a national recession began as early as March in reaction to Trump’s tarriffs.
March 16, 2025 What to Expect in This RecessionThere is risk of a lot of pain.
January 19, 2025 My 2025 ForecastThe Hoosier economy is growing, but at the same time falling further behind the rest of the nation.
September 29, 2024 The Soft Landing MiracleThe hard part was ending inflation without also causing a recession.
March 31, 2024 The Political Economy of InflationThe public seems to prefer high unemployment to high inflation.
December 17, 2023 Great Economic Holiday GiftsThe end of year data is giving economy watchers plenty cause for holiday cheer.
August 6, 2023 Looking Back at Mistakes with a Critical EyeI was not alone in making these mistakes, but there’s no comfort in being wrong with a crowd.
June 25, 2023 Growing and Declining Places Have Different ChallengesThe Midwest came of age at a time when natural amenities and recreational opportunities played only a modest role in prosperity or migration.
January 29, 2023 The 2023 ForecastThe reason for worry about a recession is the Federal Reserve’s response to high inflation.
December 25, 2022 Storm Costs on ChristmasThis storm comes amidst some of the busiest travel days of the year.
December 4, 2022 Inflation Will Make the Legislature’s Job Difficult This YearThe budget challenges faced by state legislatures are twofold.
December 12, 2021 The 2022 ForecastFrom retail and restaurants to logistics and manufacturing firms, the U.S. economy has been astonishingly resilient.
December 5, 2021 Some More Talk About Inflation RisksA price increase does not equate inflation.
February 21, 2021 Questions from an Economic ForecastThe economic recovery is in the hands of vaccine distributors, not economic policymakers.
December 16, 2018 Slowing Growth and Greater Risk in 2019We look to data indicators to anticipate changes in the new year.
September 7, 2014 Forecasting in the Silly SeasonElection season is rife with misunderstood economic projections.
May 19, 2013 The Heritage Foundation, Immigration and Moral CourageGood research should illuminate, not merely support an opinion.
December 16, 2012 Forecasts of the EconomyA well thought out economic forecast offers a great deal of useful information.
January 3, 2011 Forecasting the YearAnyone who can build a model to predict the last recession, given what was known before it started, will become very rich.
December 31, 1969 Integrity and Accuracy in Economic ForecastsWe could do like weather forecasters and give probabilities, but that doesn’t make public budgeting any easier.

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