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Previewing the Long-Term Effects of TariffsThe dominant effect of the Trump tariffs will be to raise production costs on almost every American manufacturing firm.

It’s TDS to Suppose These Tariffs Are WorkingTrump has pushed the U.S. into an economic downturn that will be especially hurtful to Hoosiers.

Trump’s Tariff Recession Is HereMy new forecast, completed in late April, predicts a national recession began as early as March in reaction to Trump’s tarriffs.

Two Key Economic Lessons in One BillHoosiers face trade-offs and opportunity costs in the wake of SEA1.

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Commentaries tagged with cost of living

May 11, 2025 Trump’s Tariff Recession Is HereMy new forecast, completed in late April, predicts a national recession began as early as March in reaction to Trump’s tarriffs.
April 20, 2025 The Unanticipated Effects of SB1Businesses, governments and households may all feel the effects.
December 24, 2023 Leaving Behind Dickensian PovertyThis Christmas holiday is not about worldly wealth, but it is a time of giving thanks for the many blessings we enjoy.
December 17, 2023 Great Economic Holiday GiftsThe end of year data is giving economy watchers plenty cause for holiday cheer.
September 3, 2023 Work From Home Is Here to StayAt least 1 million Hoosiers work from home at least one day per week.
July 23, 2023 Populists Are Wrong—Life Is Better TodayMany problems arise when comparing the past to today.
January 29, 2023 The 2023 ForecastThe reason for worry about a recession is the Federal Reserve’s response to high inflation.
December 4, 2022 Inflation Will Make the Legislature’s Job Difficult This YearThe budget challenges faced by state legislatures are twofold.
November 13, 2022 The Timing of Economic PolicyCentral planning of economic activity likely will result in wasteful, ineffective policies.
November 6, 2022 Adopt the Governor’s Public Health Commission Report Proposals Hoosier health problems are in areas that are the most susceptible to public health interventions.
October 2, 2022 Recession Likelihood GrowsIt is too early to predict a recession but not its effects.
August 21, 2022 Limiting Future InflationOverreacting to inflation can be worse to the economy than underreacting.
June 26, 2022 Inflation Affects Each Family DifferentlyWe understand earthquakes and hurricanes better than we do inflation.
May 15, 2022 Inflation Is a Policy and Political ProblemWe should all be humble in our criticism of the federal government in causing inflation.
February 18, 2022 More Thoughts on InflationLike George Bailey explained in “It’s A Wonderful Life,” the money held in his savings and loan wasn’t in the bank safe, it was in the mortgages and small business loans around the city.
February 6, 2022 Some Surprising Lessons from COVID Learning LossThe median school saw pass rates on standardized tests drop by more than 10 percent.
January 23, 2022 Indiana’s Long-Term Economic Prospects Are PoorState policymakers should be deeply alarmed about a return to a ‘normal’ economy.
December 5, 2021 Some More Talk About Inflation RisksA price increase does not equate inflation.
November 21, 2021 Tax Debate Should Be About Value of Government Services, Not PriceOver the past two decades, Indiana cut business taxes and saw agonizingly slow economic growth.
October 17, 2021 Market Adjustments Aren’t InflationToday, inflation is running far less than 1.0 percentage point off trend.
July 11, 2021 What Is ‘Quality of Place?’When choosing a place to live, workers consider the wages they will earn against the cost of housing and access to amenities.
June 23, 2019 Low Cost of Living Probably Means Low-Valued CommunityThe value of two identical homes will vary by as much as 25 percent given the quality of the local schools.
June 24, 2018 Temporal Inequality Is Much Larger Than Income Inequality TodayFrom antiquity to about 1650, the average person existed at the margin of subsistence.
December 22, 2013 An Economic Model for the HolidaysRegional growth is a gift that keeps on giving through high-quality places to live.
November 17, 2013 QE3 and the Labor MarketThe sign of a truly positive jobs report would be the decline of stock prices in anticipation of the end of QE3.
November 3, 2013 A New Minimum Wage DebateIf we really wanted to help minimum wage workers, we could do better.
October 20, 2013 A Still Uncertain EconomySomething remains terribly wrong in the U.S. economy, but there are some tantalizing hints
September 8, 2013 Income, Amenities and Affordable HousingPerceived value of employment and quality of school districts are two factors affecting personal income in our communities.

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