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June 1, 2014

Piketty in the 21st Century

Four or five years ago, a producer from an hour-long, Sunday night TV news magazine called to talk to me about income inequality. I recommended that she speak with French economist Thomas Piketty. Fast forward to today; the segment hasn't yet been made, but given the enthusiasm over Piketty's new book, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, I suspect that producer will have a hard time booking the professor.

Piketty's book has taken the talk shows and national columnist circuit by storm. Much of the enthusiasm is well deserved. From a great deal of painstakingly collected data, and much of his earlier research, he proposes and defends a simple thesis: the rate of return on capital investment is greater than the rate of economic growth. Thus income inequality is destined to expand dramatically. This space is too small for a full review, but some comments are needed.

First, this book is not about the income inequality that animates much of today's domestic debate for the simple reason that this book is about the role of accumulated and inherited capital. The anger of the Occupy Wall Street crowd and many columnists has been about earnings inequality and rich CEOs. Clearly many of Piketty’s admirers haven't actually read his book.

Piketty is no closet Marxist, but, like any good economist, understands what Marx said about the role of capital in the world. One inference from Karl Marx that Piketty extends is that the accumulation of capital amplifies economic inequality. Ironically he lambastes government debt as a primary source of capital inequality. Government bonds are historically the source of vast wealth bequeathed to heirs. I don’t know how the New York Times missed that part of the book.

The book runs on past 600 pages with an online supplement, but the central idea of capital accumulations is the heart of this tome. It is far and away one of the most important books on the economy in some time. As the author intended, this book will animate much research and a great deal of policy debate. However, the actual policy recommendations (like a global wealth tax) are intended only to foster discussion and sell books.

There are two major, and a few minor, problems with this thesis. The first is that the world has only three centuries of real economic growth to examine. Over much of that time, the return to capital has been below that of economic growth. The dearth and quality of data argues against grand conclusions, and Piketty's ideas are ambitiously grand.

Second, the way capital and labor now interact to produce goods and services benefits specialized human capital. This is a very different world than the factory of 1890 where much labor was a commodity. So, much of earnings income differences are necessarily due to the way highly skilled people use capital, not the returns to capital itself. Piketty dislikes the term human capital itself, yet this is where much inequality is now rooted. That is a different issue for a different, better and ultimately more important book.

Link to this commentary: https://commentaries.cberdata.org/736/piketty-in-the-21st-century

Tags: inequality and poverty, economic theory


About the Author

Michael Hicks cberdirector@bsu.edu

Michael J. Hicks, PhD, is the director of the Center for Business and Economic Research and the George and Frances Ball distinguished professor of economics in the Miller College of Business at Ball State University. Note: The views expressed here are solely those of the author, and do not represent those of funders, associations, any entity of Ball State University, or its governing body.

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