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Commentaries tagged with federal reserve

May 11, 2025	Trump’s Tariff Recession Is HereMy new forecast, completed in late April, predicts a national recession began as early as March in reaction to Trump’s tarriffs.
September 29, 2024	The Soft Landing MiracleThe hard part was ending inflation without also causing a recession.
July 14, 2024	We Are Nearing Fed Rate CutsAll the talk of a crashing, risk-filled economy where people are struggling is unsupported by actual data.
March 31, 2024	The Political Economy of InflationThe public seems to prefer high unemployment to high inflation.
December 17, 2023	Great Economic Holiday GiftsThe end of year data is giving economy watchers plenty cause for holiday cheer.
December 3, 2023	The ‘Great Discordance’ of Economic Fact and FeelingThat Americans appear to prefer higher unemployment over historically mild inflation is not something any of us should be proud of.
May 7, 2023	Money Illusion and InflationPrice fluctuation could cause inflation to last longer, but it didn’t cause the inflation, it simply extends the pain.
March 26, 2023	Bank Failures Warn of Deeper Economic ProblemsDuring the Great Recession, a whopping 0.014 percent of banks were closed by the FDIC.
January 29, 2023	The 2023 ForecastThe reason for worry about a recession is the Federal Reserve’s response to high inflation.
November 13, 2022	The Timing of Economic PolicyCentral planning of economic activity likely will result in wasteful, ineffective policies.
October 2, 2022	Recession Likelihood GrowsIt is too early to predict a recession but not its effects.
June 26, 2022	Inflation Affects Each Family DifferentlyWe understand earthquakes and hurricanes better than we do inflation.
June 19, 2022	Yes, State Stimulus Checks Boost InflationTax reductions and rebates can only increase inflation.
April 17, 2022	Where’s Inflation and Growth Headed?We’ve only had one long period of rate increase since the early 1980s, so the consumer response is unknown.
February 18, 2022	More Thoughts on InflationLike George Bailey explained in “It’s A Wonderful Life,” the money held in his savings and loan wasn’t in the bank safe, it was in the mortgages and small business loans around the city.
February 13, 2022	MMT Is Just Another Fad Without EvidenceThe controversy is a useful window into how we create knowledge and uncover truth.
December 12, 2021	The 2022 ForecastFrom retail and restaurants to logistics and manufacturing firms, the U.S. economy has been astonishingly resilient.
December 5, 2021	Some More Talk About Inflation RisksA price increase does not equate inflation.
April 4, 2021	Inflation Is Not Our Top ProblemRecession effects are influenced by the tradeoff between unemployment and inflation.
September 22, 2019	The Fed’s Role in Uncertain TimesIn 1947, Congress directed the Federal Reserve to keep both unemployment and inflation low.
July 28, 2019	The Trade War Is Slowing Our EconomyEconomic performance has slowed domestically and abroad.
March 31, 2019	MMT and Modern Supply-Side Economics Are Both NonsenseThese theories are a political panacea.
February 18, 2018	Uncertainty, Not Inflation, Is the Stock Market's WorryIn practice, there are many constraints to inflation.
February 28, 2016	Zero Lower Bound and a World in RecessionThe prospect of zero or negative interest rates highlight a serious issue in today’s economy.
November 29, 2015	Nader vs Yellen: Round 1Monetary policy involves more than simple consideration of the interest rate.
August 16, 2015	What Drives the Fed Rate Hike Decision?What is the nature of their agreement and disagreements and how does it play into the public debate over economic policy?
March 22, 2015	The Rate Hike CalculusThe Federal Reserve relies on economic models to keep markets in balance.
September 22, 2013	Janet Yellen and the FedThe Federal Reserve is a necessary, yet imperfect, institution.
September 22, 2013	Janet Yellen and the FedThe Federal Reserve is a necessary, yet imperfect, institution.
August 11, 2013	The Next Fed ChairThe great problem facing the Federal Reserve in the years to come lies in deciding how and when to tighten monetary policy.
February 10, 2013	The Whys of Stock PricesThe shedding of 8 million unneeded workers boosted profits for lots of businesses.
September 9, 2012	Global Slowdown Comes to WyomingA slowing world economy… suggests increased risk of a recession here at home.
May 7, 2012	A Debate on the Federal ReserveIt is again time to think seriously about the role of the Federal Reserve.
December 12, 2011	Monetary Policy for Our TimesThis week in Muncie, Dr. Evans amplified his proposal to accept the risk of higher inflation to potentially cure high unemployment.
August 15, 2011	Downgrading Standard & Poor’sFor anyone who recalls its glowing ratings for mortgage backed securities, S&P research is hard to take seriously.
November 8, 2010	The Season of Quantitative EasingThe problem is that the resistance of banks to lending is not a monetary problem.

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Commentaries tagged with federal reserve